Supporting a green and just transition for NHS Scotland

Future Forecasts: scenario planning for travel

Future Forecasts aims to reduce the environmental impact of NHS Scotland’s travel by enhancing vehicle fleet efficiency, promoting vehicle recycling, and increasing active travel infrastructure.

About the Project

The NHS is the largest single employer in Scotland, with approximately 160,000 staff members who treat over 20 million patients annually across a variety of clinical settings. This results in a significant number of travel events throughout the NHS Scotland network, which includes both planned journeys, such as staff commuting, and unplanned ones, including emergency ambulance services.

The aim of Future Forecasts is to reduce the environmental impact of all planned and unplanned travel associated with the healthcare system. This includes reducing the carbon footprint linked to NHS Scotland’s travel by increasing the efficiency of NHS Scotland’s vehicle fleet and promoting vehicle recycling. Additionally, we aim to increase active travel and its associated health benefits by providing infrastructure such as showers and bike storage areas. Working closely with NHS Scotland colleagues across various services, including clinical and professional areas, we will develop scenarios for the future of healthcare transport. This scenario planning—essentially forecasting likely future travel requirements—will aid in long-term planning and inform decisions that promote sustainability.

 

A collaborative project, funded by the Arts and Humanities Research Council, as part of the Future Observatory programme, and led by the University of Strathclyde and University of Dundee (DJCAD), with Heriot-Watt University, Abertay University, and the University of Edinburgh, NHS Scotland, industry partners, and public sector stakeholders.